Fractals and Daesh

I fear both the USSR and the US made a grievous ill considered decision in 1975 when those external govt.s decided in encourage the civil war in Lebanon for their own political agendas. Although some back then forecast the introduction of chaos to a stable system the outside countries saw no downside in that. Perhaps because their leaders then lacked the IQ to understand the math they were being warned of.

Chaos Theory predicts if there is an element of chaos, then it will spread. The growth rate can be mathematically predicted by fractal analysis.

In the 40 years since the beginning of the Lebanese Civil War we have seen many groups with elements of behavioral similarity come and go or change name. Intitially when it was just Lebanon the number was small as fractal growth would predict. There is a paradigm called the percolation threshold. As a structure changes from many disconnected parts into one, we say that percolation has occurred. There is a threshold value at which disconnected elements begin to merge together. Civilization may not be a natural structure and Chaos may much prefer anarchy.

In the 40 years one country after another has been destabilized by one outside government or another with though only to short term needs of the disrupter. Congo, Syria, Irag, Afghanistan, etc.

This has created many areas of land mass where nothing rules and the stage is set for what is called the Forest Fire Model of fractal growth. The more densely the cities are packed the more fuel to burn.

Comparing the emergence and spread of violent radical groups over 40 years in the areas destabilized very scarily gives almost identical results to running a fractal generation program in Forest Fire Mode.

The mathematical modeling of the growth of new terrorist members can be predicted using the fundamental concepts of the Brownian Motion (a predictive study for the movement of solid molecules in a liquid environment). The fractals will grow dendrites and new fractals will coerce at the end of the dendrites. Perhaps the Dendrites are analogous to social media and other communication methods? In any case once the process begins in a percolated area, very soon the screen turns black.

When a given percolated area has turned black, the production of fractals does not necessarily stop. We come to a mathematical Chaos Theory called Strange Attractor and some new things called insect fractals and animal fractals. Where they differ from normal fractals is they do not require percolated areas to appear and grow. They may grow in areas where nothing else is found, for our purposes villages without education or jobs.

Like all fractals these multiply too until the area around them is solid. They will be very similar in form to triangle and other types of fractals growing around them and dendrites may soon stretch between them.

Why I say we all messed up is when I run some of the models in simulations of the mideast, middle to North Africa, and Southern Europe, a few hours after begining, everything turns black.

You can bomb a square to try to keep it white, but the instant you stop, those little black dots begin to appear and grow. Anarchists and Chaos Theory love each other.

The only solutions for a change of outcome I see is to reinstall governments and robust infrastructure in the areas previously intentionally destabilized. Yes, who bells the cat?

Still the concept is to block the black fractals by already having nice stable, blue or green or yellow fractals of our own there already. Yes, the black will try to circle and smother, but our own fractals will be doing the same. The secret is to recognize the problem and plant blue and yellow beacons of hope where there today is only white space.