Bad News for Democrats? Best Alternative After Biden Appears To Be Warren or Sanders

For political junkies looking for entertainment, here’s the disappointing truth: Joe Biden is at his best when he’s being boring.

If his speeches are the political equivalent of a Lunesta, that’s a good thing, at least for him. If he’s able to pass off his policies as some sort of recycled, Obama-era mush with a bit of liberal spice added to the mix, so much the better.

He’s Warren G. Harding 2.0, promising a return to normalcy after President Donald Trump.

Of course, he’s also like Harding in another way. In a time when social media consisted of the letters to the editor section in the newspaper, our 29th president committed what might have been the ultimate political gaffe when he wrote, according to The New York Times that, “I am not fit for this office and should never have been here.”

He was right, of course, but it wasn’t something the media was interested in reporting at the time. Just imagine if telegraph lines had been able to support some rudimentary form of Twitter.


And therein lies the reason political junkies looking for entertainment needn’t be disappointed: Joe Biden isn’t going to be boring.

For Democrats, however, that could be very bad news, particularly when it comes to who their alternatives are.

As of right now, Biden still leads by 11.8 points in the RealClearPolitics polling average, which is generally a reliable indicator of how a candidate is doing. The problem is that the average is derived from polls that are all over the place, between one survey showing the former vice president up by 18 points and another that showed him down by 1 to both Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren.

What ought to be worrying is that all of these polls were taken during the last two weeks and that the trend, such as one can be reliably established, shows Biden’s lead shrinking.

The last two polls, surveys from the Economist/YouGov and Emerson, show him up by only 4 and 7 points, respectively.

This was before his latest gaffe, in which it turns out a story of military heroism he’s told on numerous occasions was, at best, several different stories amalgamated into one. He promptly issued a response which could be boiled down to “sorry not sorry.”

This gaffe felt dire enough to be of Kinnockian proportions — as opposed to, say, the merely offensive malapropism “poor kids are just as bright and just as talented as white kids” — and still managed to make its way into a news cycle that includes a hurricane.

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Comments (22)

FWIW -

According to

Warren is given a 33% chance of getting the 'Crat nomination & trending up.
Biden - 24% & trending down.
Sanders - 13% & trending down.
Harris - 11% & trending down.

The next 16 contenders (including "Other") come in @ 5% and less.

These numbers are very fluid - a snapshot of chances as of this hour.

Warren seems to be most favored among 'Crats & Lefties I know IRL, but enthusiasm is lukewarm.
The 'Crat base appears under energized - some grudgingly(!) admit The Don has a good chance of getting a 2nd term.

All 'Crat contenders would have difficulties in the general election against The Don.
That's my opinion - not immutable Natural Law.

What I know FOR SURE -
We'll know alot more in 14 months & two weeks.

popcorn...drinking

cowboy
One Leftie I know IRL wishes AOC was old enough to run for Prez & she'd have the best chance of whupping The Don.

Yes. REALLY!!! liar pointing scold
rolling on the floor laughing rolling on the floor laughing

cowboy
But can ANY of them prevail over The Don in '20 dunno

cowboy
Perhaps that depends upon how much 'help' Russia gives him this time around. thumbs down
I stand firmly behind the prediction I made in my comment above roll eyes -
"We'll know alot more in 14 months & two weeks."

cowboy
What happened to your prediction Jim , you know ,the one where you said Trump would be impeached this year .
Ep

Where have you been...missing here for some time...lol...who knows if the majority of Americans will vote...that is the problem...conversing
Busy , weather has been good , didn't know you cared laugh
Ep

Nope...wine


laugh
violin violin violin yeah right Jim , you vote for Trump then so you can impeach him , hope you commys all think like that
e - I was wrong about the timing of the impeachment. I thought Congress would do the right thing. Trump deserves impeachment.
Either way, I do like Pelosi's game plan however. Because Trump deserves jail even more.

What's jail for this time Jim , I've read the report , Russian was not much help . Having Santa's wandering around New York wearing Trump masks is hardly election tipping for adults is it .
"You made no 'prediction'. You stated that Trump has a 'good chance'".

I mentioned that the 'Crat base appears under energized & some Lefties I know IRL grudgingly(!) admit The Don has a good chance of getting a 2nd term.

Given the possible contenders who may square off against The Don, the base may have cause to be under energized - any of them would have difficulties in the general election against The Don.
My opinion - not immutable Natural Law.

1) Warren has, over the years, been all over the spectrum, from registered 'Publican to trying to out-Bernie The Bern - and much in between including that $5 Indian thing.
2) Biden has made a career of gaffing himself - and continues to do so foot in mouth
3) Sanders may be the most effective campaigner, but may appear too far Left for middle of the road voters in a general election. His age is a legitimate issue - Lefties I know IRL DEFINITELY acknowledge that!

Will any of the contenders overcome their respective difficulties & prevail over The Don dunno

I predicted we'll know alot more in 14 months & two weeks.
I continue to believe that will be the case.

cowboy
admit The Don has a good chance of getting a 2nd term.

they're aleady beaten if they all think like that . The 5 $ indian problem will be a billion dollar issue if she wins selection .
The advertising industry need somebody in the DNC to stand .
m - so your "prediction", is that we will know more in 14 months ?
Wow ! That's really a bold prediction. laugh
JimN

Agree totally...Trump is not well respected in New York...they know him well...conversing wink
We know the slimeball well here in NJ too.
This is where he lives.
JimN

That is where the mafia live too...lol...laugh
"Nothing wrong with Warren...”

WHICH Warren, Lou?
Therein lies her difficulty - over the years she's waffled more'n IHOP.

I'll concede - Lefties I know IRL may be marginally more comfortable with her than gaffing Ol'Joe.
Some REALLY like The Bern - but think his time has past.

It's really not so much that they LIKE her as much as it's a process of elimination.
The least worst of the three main contenders, one might say - but they harbor reservations about her chances in the general election.

Hence their grudging(!) admission that The Don may have a good chance at getting a 2nd term moping

Me?
Of the field of 'Crat hopefuls, I like Tulsi - Especially on finally(!) ending Dubya Bush era wars.
But realistically - she ain't gonna get the nomination sigh
She did make the wars an issue - and good on her for that, sez I thumbs up
Keep an eye on her in '24 wink

cowboy
Fatman, is dillusional. You will have no problem shutting his lips. He just loves rich tax cuts.
You're welcome to your opinion, but like most Canadians who offer theirs, it is of little concern to us, left or right. Now you may go about your own business.

cool
BUT...Can the 'Crats field a candidate with a decent chance of ousting him?
There be the rub & the gist of this blog, Lou.

I don't see the likes of a Barry O or BJ wink Clinton in the offing.
'Course, those were two of the best natural born campaign political animals of the past few decades.
Their like doesn't just come along every election cycle.

History doesn't reveal its alternatives.
But it's interesting to speculate what may've been (for better or otherwise) had the DNC not kneecapped The Bern in the '16 'Crat primaries.
hmmm

That alienated the Bernie Bros very mad & Hildy went on to alienate the 'Crat blue collar base with her "Deplorables" gaffe foot in mouth
'Crats are going into '20 still in damage control from those epic shoot-self-in-foot blunders.
IMO

cowboy
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Willy3411

Willy3411

Lawton, Oklahoma, USA

Retired old guy. Loves sports, music, and karaoke. Not shy about singing.Love to travel. Love to go to beaches and warm weather outdoor events. U.S. Air Force Veteran. I am here for the blogs. I am an amputee. My lower leg is gone.

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