Flatten the curve...
That's the whole point of isolation. If not, we all will be running around in 'Andromeda Strain' hazmat suits... even if it's a trip to the grocery store.We need to see less new outbreaks... essentially flatten the curve.
I see Mark made a comment to Jim's blog "Over 1000 cases..." stating Florida changed their peak time. Is this a false report... glitch perhaps?
The prediction was to see more cases, but yesterday the numbers dropped sharply.
Two of the county virus hotspots in the State of Florida are Dade and Broward Counties.
If you are not familiar, Miami is in the middle of Dade county and Fort Lauderdale is in the middle of Broward county.
Highly populated, both cities are famous for tourism and have international airports, seaports for cargo and cruise ships.
Since I own a home in Miami, it's a concern to avoid these areas as I'm now living in Palm Beach county about 50 miles to the north.
We are under a mandatory stay home order.
If this effect is working, then we could expect the projected curve to flatten sooner.
Comments (32)
It's less restrictive as a lockdown order.
The virus takes several days to show symptoms and during that time those who have the virus are highly contagious.
All it takes is ONE PERSON in a crowded church to infect a few dozen people.
No social gatherings are allowed.
It seems to be working too.
We still have cases but not inundated.
Social distancing hasn't stopped TV evangelists from making millions!!
Influenza epidemic in California 1918
We dropped to the same as March 25th, just before the curve jumped up.
My county has a similar curve to the state.
This is great news as the projections has Florida peaking at the fist week in May.
Flatten the curve.
I'm so paranoid that I;m afraid to go outside.
I hope you like yellow.
I'm a germaphobe and I can stand the thought of using a use hazmat suite.
I'll sure get the virus if I do that.
I thought it was more than that.
The goal is to drastically reduce the number of new cases.
Let's say if 95% of the population observed total lockdown and the 5% who were allowed out (in some form of rotation to those on lockdown) stayed in total observation of social distancing, the the number of new cases would diminish rapidly.
We need better ways to detect the virus as well as much more testing.
For every person who gets infected it's 3 to 4 weeks before their episode has diminished. If they infect someone else, it's another 3 to 4 weeks of potential of infecting others. If we (globally) don't break the cycle it will continue to perpetuate... month after month after month.
We peaked at around 2,000 new cases per day, and have been down around 1,00 new cases per day for the last couple days, we've been on lock down for about 3 weeks.
If only the cautious could be spared, then let ignorance play out with the others.
In Florida, county parks have reopened today and golf courses are scheduled to open Monday, May 4th. Checking daily, the numbers of new cases is not significantly better than they were 30 days ago.
We will see, how this works out..I have noticed, in the last few days, there has been much more traffic on the roads where I live.
Broward and Dade counties will stay under lock-down.
I think they are bending the rules for the guidelines....by not allowing the hotspot counties to reopen. Hopefully, it will go well and we won't have a surge of new cases.....
They reported that the minority population is the hardest hit with this virus.
Without social distancing and stay home orders more people would get the virus and more people would die. Hospitals would be overloaded. Emergency surgeries would carry a higher risk of infection. Elective surgeries would be put on hold.
Stay home orders and social distancing, what's the alternative?
If you reopen businesses too soon and the numbers of new infections jump up as quickly as before (remember the word pandemic?) then it's ANOTHER 2 to 3 months to bring the numbers down again.
I'll relate that to the Australian brush fires. If the response is too little or too slow, the entire country will burn down.
Telling people to stay home and only 60 percent comply will completely change the projections.