Biden up 8.8 percent in latest poll
According to a poll conducted by The Guardian, nationwide Biden (+8.8%, 51.4% for Biden and 48.6% for Trump ) is up about twice as much as Hillary (+6%) was at this time in 2016.However, once again the so-called 'battleground states' may decide the election outcome.
Some of them are extremely close at this time, especially; Iowa (0.3% for Biden), Florida (+1 % for Biden), Ohio (+1.8% for Trump), North Carolina (+2.2% for Biden), and (Arizona +3.6% for Biden).
Regardless, it seems that Biden has a lot more paths to victory than Hillary did.
Nonetheless, it is possible that Covid-19 will be gone like a miracle before the election.
From the Guardian;
In response to:
US election polls tracker: who is leading in swing states, Trump or Biden?
As the presidential campaign heats up, the Guardian is tracking the latest polling in eight battleground states that could decide the election.
Ashley Kirk, Pablo Gutiérrez, Frank Hulley-Jones and Juweek Adolphe
Wed 28 Oct 2020 18.57 EDT
Joe Biden is leading Donald Trump in the national polls for the presidential election.
But that doesn’t guarantee the Democratic candidate victory. Hillary Clinton also had a clear lead over Trump in the polls for almost the entire 2016 campaign. She ended up losing in the electoral college.
Because the presidential voting system assigns each state a number of electoral college votes, which go to the state’s victor regardless of the margin of victory (with the exception of Nebraska and Maine), a handful of swing states will probably decide the election and be targeted heavily by campaigners.
Each day, the Guardian’s poll tracker takes a rolling 14-day average of the polls in eight swing states.
In order to track how the race is developing in the areas that could decide the election, six of the eight states we focused on were those that flipped to Trump in 2016 after backing Barack Obama in 2012. Arizona and North Carolina were also added due to what they might tell us about a shifting electoral landscape – they could emerge as vital new swing states this year.
We must caution that the polls – particularly some swing state polls – severely undercounted Trump supporters in 2016. We are not certain, despite assurances, that they they have corrected this. Additionally, they may be over-counting Democratic support (more people may say they will vote for Biden than actually turn out).
US election polls tracker: who is leading in swing states, Trump or Biden?
As the presidential campaign heats up, the Guardian is tracking the latest polling in eight battleground states that could decide the election.
Ashley Kirk, Pablo Gutiérrez, Frank Hulley-Jones and Juweek Adolphe
Wed 28 Oct 2020 18.57 EDT
Joe Biden is leading Donald Trump in the national polls for the presidential election.
But that doesn’t guarantee the Democratic candidate victory. Hillary Clinton also had a clear lead over Trump in the polls for almost the entire 2016 campaign. She ended up losing in the electoral college.
Because the presidential voting system assigns each state a number of electoral college votes, which go to the state’s victor regardless of the margin of victory (with the exception of Nebraska and Maine), a handful of swing states will probably decide the election and be targeted heavily by campaigners.
Each day, the Guardian’s poll tracker takes a rolling 14-day average of the polls in eight swing states.
In order to track how the race is developing in the areas that could decide the election, six of the eight states we focused on were those that flipped to Trump in 2016 after backing Barack Obama in 2012. Arizona and North Carolina were also added due to what they might tell us about a shifting electoral landscape – they could emerge as vital new swing states this year.
We must caution that the polls – particularly some swing state polls – severely undercounted Trump supporters in 2016. We are not certain, despite assurances, that they they have corrected this. Additionally, they may be over-counting Democratic support (more people may say they will vote for Biden than actually turn out).
For a presentation of the latest polls see;
Comments (21)
That would be seeing something that is not there.
Did you mean, "I have not seen enthusiasm" ?
Since there have been a record number of early votes so far, I would guess,
that people are fairly enthused.
Roses are Red.
Kamala's not Black.
Biden's in Hidin'.
Hunter's on Crack.
#2 use your mind
if you have one
I mean I see a Lack of enthusiasm - even among Ol' Joe "supporters".
Campaigns run Primarily on "Anybody But ________ !" (In this case Orange Man BAD!)
have historically fared Poorly.
The Question is -
Is there Enough TDS out there for Ol' Joe to buck the historical trend?
Technically you have no clue what you are posting.
You are projecting BACON!
I can See a glass that's empty
I said there was a Lack of enthusiasm for Ol' Joe - implying there was Some.
Like if one gets a big bill for & Lacks funds to pay it - there are Some funds.
I was being Generous.
Some here claim there's NO detectable enthusiasm for Ol' Joe -
That Ol' Joe's "enthusiasm bankrupt" - Or maybe even "Overdrawn" ever since '88.
I misspoke. I was bein' kind with "Lack" -
"Undetectable" is Harsh, but more Accurate.
I stand corrected
There's NO detectable enthusiasm FOR Ol' Joe. ...
Flint City Council member and life long (Democrat 64 years) Maurice Davis says he is backing Trump.
Trump promised me the key to city upon re election.
I was at a party & everyone was feeling Merry -
She left and we all jumped for Joy -
But she was too quick ...