Random Events

The belief that lightning never strikes at the same place, is a myth. There is nothing random about where lightning will strike next. It can and it will strike at the same place for as long as the topography invites it to strike there.professor

The law of averages is a nonprofessional term for an erroneous belief that (inter alia) the results of random events in the past can influence the probability of random events yet to come.doh

According to the ‘law of averages’, something is more likely to happen because it has not happened recently or alternatively, that because something has recently happened, it will not happen again in the immediate future. This is wishful thinking or a poor understanding of statistics and not based on any mathematical or statistical probability. Life is not that simple and smooth. There is no law of averages.talk to hand

As an example, consider a die that has landed on six in ten consecutive rolls. Somebody may assume, in accordance with the ‘law of averages', that on its next roll it will not (or at least is much more unlikely to) produce another six. The truth is, the die has no memory, and the probability of another six does not change in sympathy with past results. Even if the die has landed on six in ten or a hundred consecutive rolls, the probability that the next roll will produce another six is still no more and no less than one in six (18.67%), the same as with any the other five numbers on the die.wow

Likewise, there is no statistical basis for the belief that lottery numbers, which haven’t appeared recently, are due to appear soon. Playing the same combination of numbers draw after draw, fares no better. There simply is no minimum or maximum number of draws to guarantee a certain outcome. A thousand years may not be enough to draw the right number. It is just pure luckshock

Lotto is (and will remain) a special tax levied on stupid people.laugh
cats meow cats meow

I wish you a great week ahead.wave
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Comments (20)

I need some of that 'luck'. Have heard there is a Doctor from Zim close by that can help with the bad vibe spirits. (not sure if its Cane or Gin)uh oh handshake oh yea and of course he can provide you with the winning combo...thumbs up
Hello there P. Nice to see you. I agree with you on your statement re lightning.

But on the lottery, I sure would love to be a winner. .

I have to play to win though, and I guess I will have to allocate funds for that. wave
Hi Lindsy
I guess some of us will have to pay that tax or government will invent a new tax to make up any short fall.
laugh rolling on the floor laughing wave
Dont know if you noticed but most have degrees from Harvard... Celcius..rolling on the floor laughing
There was a guy who got struck twice by lightning.
actually come to think of it was my mate..got done with a tazer for stealing TVs..
Lukie
If Idi Amin could pin his own medals then surely a witchdoctor can produce his own degrees?
help dunno laugh
Bob.
roll eyes I have a $1.00
And I'm going to: Play to win! Or play to lose.

wave heyyy!
Ian
laugh rolling on the floor laughing rolling on the floor laughing
Did he survive?grin
Hi Angel
As they say, another day, another dollar.
doh grin wave
Well. I don't gamble at anything. Don't believe in laws that is not logical to me. How about just plain old logic all the way.
Bob.
Another dollar! Another winner.
The state or the person that played the $1.00...rolling on the floor laughing
Hi Snooky
Is that not what it is all about? The problem is to differentiate between what is random and what is ruled by natural laws. Many apparent random events are not as random as it may appear at first sight.
hug wave
Hi Angel
The slogan here is you cannot win if you do not play but then I guess the same goes for losing.
dunno grin wave
Hi Ken
I read about this fella or somebody similar. I cannot recall much of the detail but I think I may have seen a program on TV about him as well.
thumbs up cheers wave
Ken. I read u lost a lot of weight due to some illness to do with inhaling fumes. I hope u get better soon.
The way I see it Cat, someone has to win the lotto. laugh
Hi , Cat;

We have many such stupid people, I saw they buy Lotto even in a line sometimes.laugh wine wave
HiKN
Yep, somebody has to win it but by logical elimination it won't be me. Somehow I'm not very good at guessing numbers.
help confused laugh
Hi Phoenix
Yes, when the jackpot is big we have that here as well. The bigger the jackpot the more 'stupid' people around.
laugh rolling on the floor laughing
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Catfoot

Catfoot

Around here, Western Cape, South Africa

I know I cannot always have what I want, but that does not make me want it less. Otherwise I’m easy to please, flexible, accommodating and forgiving. I cool down as fast what I get cross. I hate it when people lie to me. I’m hooked to my laptop, but [read more]

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created May 2015
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