Do you believe in U.F.O's. Believe those who tell they were abducted. Life elsewhere? ( Archived) (40)

Planet Earth is abt. 4.6 billion years old. For 3.5 billion years primitive protozoa exist, for 1 billion years metazoa, for 530 million years vertebrates, for 5 million years humans and since some thousand years ago we call ourselves more or less intelligent. One might assume hat this evolutionary speed is representative for extraterrestrials, because naturally complex things need a long time to develop.

The universe contains about 100 billion galaxies with about 100 billion stars each. Enough room thus. The question of extraterrestrial life may be answered only in probabilites right now.

Alien life in space: very very likely.
Intelligent life in space: likely.
Life near us (~ 100 light-years): likely.
Intelligent life near us (~ 100 light-years): very very unlikely.

How can we discover alien life, if it doesn't communicate with us ? One possibility would be the finding of ozone on exoplanets, because it seems that ozone can only form in a metabolistic life process. A corresponding project to detect ozone is planned for the future.

On top there’s the timing problem.

We have to keep in mind that at this distance communications would be mostly a one way street. Because if we receive a signal from 100 light years away it would require another 100 years to answer and a return answer will not reach us before 200 years. Not even thinking about the time needed for physical trips.

If for instance an alien civilization had broadcast its existence starting two million years ago, we would have missed it since at that time only primitive hominids roamed the African continent, barely having invented primitive stone tools.

Similarly, our own electronic projection - starting less than one hundred years ago - would hit another planet millions of years after its civilization had expired, or alternatively, long before it evolved. In that case no communication would be possible ‘cause we attempted to communicate millions of years apart.

The probability that any one civilization could interact with another civilization in this universe ”at the right time” certainly is astronomically small, that is, almost non-existent.


Waiting for the wormholes to form...

U.F.O.'s in aviation ? Yes, every day. I'm a pilot myself.

ETI-U.F.O.'s ? No way ! Plain wish-wash.

Well, there are a l o t of stories flying around if it comes to UFOs, even though a UFO per definition has nothing to do with “extraterrestial intelligence” it just describes an unidentified flying object at the time of discovery, nothing more.

And the case of the Roswell Incident back in 1947 was plainly a press issue. The local Roswell newspaper printed a nice story immediately after a phone call from “a friendly” Public Relations Officer (Walter Haut), they never received anything in writing from him! As this was an excellent story they published it immediately only to withdraw it the next day. This case was quickly forgotten and almost completely ignored for more than 30 (!) years.

Then, in 1978, ufologist Stanton T. Friedman interviewed Major Jesse Marcel, who was involved with the original recovery of the debris in 1947. Marcel expressed his belief that the military had covered up the recovery of an alien spacecraft. His story circulated through UFO circles, being featured in some UFO documentaries at the time. Later also the National Enquirer ran its own interview with Marcel, garnering national and worldwide attention for the “Roswell Incident”. Marcel described the debris found on the scene as aluminium parts and balsa wood ! Certainly very common materials to bridge the universe ! At the end, as always in such cases: just rumours, nothing solid. Later Hollywood jumped on it and strangely enough, people do believe what they see in movies!

Of course I was interested myself in that story and did my own research when I was at the GAFADS in Fort Bliss / El Paso. I've also been many times at Holloman AFB / Alamogordo, NASA Dryden Research Center / Edwards AFB and Wright Patterson AFB / Dayton, OH. In all my discussions I could not find even one single hint that would point towards the probability of the “Roswell ET story”. So what was it? Just a huge espionage balloon of the so-called MOGUL-series, classified information at that time, therefore the made-up weatherballoon story.

And other “mass sightings”? I would call it “mass hysteria” as seen many times in history, think of the many Marian apparitions (e.g. Fatima in 1917) in the last thousand years…..today people see UFOs instead.