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Are Political Polls Really Accurate? ( Archived) (40)

Oct 16, 2008 9:25 AM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
zeelanderer
zeelandererzeelandererLouisville, Kentucky USA25 Threads 711 Posts
I just saw a poll that came from Kentucky (middle America). To vote in Kentucky you must be registered as one of two parties.... yes, Republican or Democrat, no other party is allowed. Kentucky has a 2/3 Democrat registration over Republicans, yet this poll states that McCain has a 19 point lead over Obama in this poll.

Yes I know Kentucky is full of rednecks and hillbillies, but Middle America does too.

So what are your thoughts?

Zee
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Oct 16, 2008 9:31 AM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
shipoker58
shipoker58shipoker58Las Vegas, Nevada USA35 Threads 4,332 Posts
polls are like religious writings....they say whatever you want then tothumbs down
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Oct 16, 2008 9:33 AM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
WhatUwish4
WhatUwish4WhatUwish4St. Augustine, Florida USA2 Threads 12,827 Posts
AOL shows him ahead by a point to. It is odd...
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Oct 16, 2008 9:35 AM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
zeelanderer
zeelandererzeelandererLouisville, Kentucky USA25 Threads 711 Posts
WhatUwish4: AOL shows him ahead by a point to. It is odd...


Does that mean that Kentuckians know something the rest of the country and media don't?

Zee
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Oct 16, 2008 9:37 AM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
WhatUwish4
WhatUwish4WhatUwish4St. Augustine, Florida USA2 Threads 12,827 Posts
zeelanderer: Does that mean that Kentuckians know something the rest of the country and media don't?

Zee



dunno dunno
I think it means nobody knows what the heck is going to happen.
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Oct 16, 2008 9:54 AM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
lorax111
lorax111lorax111richmond, Virginia USA30 Threads 2 Polls 1,772 Posts
One flaw about polling is that most are being done by phone. The phone polls do not call cel phones, that eliminates a large portion of voters including most of the collage kids.


Dennis
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Oct 16, 2008 10:07 AM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
shipoker58
shipoker58shipoker58Las Vegas, Nevada USA35 Threads 4,332 Posts
CNN shows OBama ahead by a large margin....Fox News shows McCain ahead by a large margin. Polls mean nothing
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Oct 16, 2008 10:08 AM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
zeelanderer
zeelandererzeelandererLouisville, Kentucky USA25 Threads 711 Posts
lorax111: One flaw about polling is that most are being done by phone. The phone polls do not call cel phones, that eliminates a large portion of voters including most of the collage kids. Dennis


Unfortunately, most college kids vote in primaries, but not in the general election. This tends to be a real let down for the Democratic party. If they did vote, there would never be another Republican in office.

zee
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Oct 16, 2008 10:10 AM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
Fallingman
FallingmanFallingmanDublin, Ireland45 Threads 17 Polls 18,473 Posts
WhatUwish4: AOL shows him ahead by a point to. It is odd...


I'm confused here....who is ahead by one point? confused
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Oct 16, 2008 6:16 PM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
Indyfella
IndyfellaIndyfellaindianapolis, Indiana USA230 Threads 9 Polls 27,698 Posts
Fallingman: I'm confused here....who is ahead by one point?


The Indiana Pacers, with 3 seconds left. applause
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Oct 16, 2008 6:23 PM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
Indyfella
IndyfellaIndyfellaindianapolis, Indiana USA230 Threads 9 Polls 27,698 Posts
The one at midnight on Nov. 4th is usually accurate....but this year, who knows?
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Oct 16, 2008 6:30 PM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
jlw45
jlw45jlw45lake Dallas, Texas USA101 Threads 1 Polls 21,759 Posts
zeelanderer: I just saw a poll that came from Kentucky (middle America). To vote in Kentucky you must be registered as one of two parties.... yes, Republican or Democrat, no other party is allowed. Kentucky has a 2/3 Democrat registration over Republicans, yet this poll states that McCain has a 19 point lead over Obama in this poll.

Yes I know Kentucky is full of rednecks and hillbillies, but Middle America does too.

So what are your thoughts?

Zee
polls are worthless....they are smoke and mirrors, at the very most...when they to do a poll on any given area, they only call a small portion of said area, and project that percentage on the whole area in question....smoke and mirrors!
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Oct 16, 2008 6:43 PM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
If only a certain demographic is polled, I don't see how it can possibly be accurate.

I think the election will be based on which party allienates the most of their own party,(who will just not borther voting) All the BS on the news is just for ratings in my opinion.
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Oct 16, 2008 6:59 PM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
patrickthomas
patrickthomaspatrickthomasMullingar, Westmeath Ireland45 Threads 4 Polls 3,001 Posts
zeelanderer: I just saw a poll that came from Kentucky (middle America). To vote in Kentucky you must be registered as one of two parties.... yes, Republican or Democrat, no other party is allowed. Kentucky has a 2/3 Democrat registration over Republicans, yet this poll states that McCain has a 19 point lead over Obama in this poll.

Yes I know Kentucky is full of rednecks and hillbillies, but Middle America does too.

So what are your thoughts?

Zee


I've been looking at that, It is interesting! Any ideas yourself as to how this has come about?
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Oct 16, 2008 7:22 PM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
WhatUwish4
WhatUwish4WhatUwish4St. Augustine, Florida USA2 Threads 12,827 Posts
Fallingman: I'm confused here....who is ahead by one point?


McCain...but that was this morning. I haven't checked again
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Oct 16, 2008 8:18 PM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
zeelanderer
zeelandererzeelandererLouisville, Kentucky USA25 Threads 711 Posts
patrickthomas: I've been looking at that, It is interesting! Any ideas yourself as to how this has come about?


I have it sorta figured out.... here in Kentucky, people say they are Democrats for a couple reasons.... 1) because their Daddy was.... 2) It is the only way to get a government job or contract. It's all politics down here.

Zee
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Oct 16, 2008 8:38 PM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
MysticErf
MysticErfMysticErfTampa, Florida USA8 Threads 1 Polls 241 Posts
90% of statistics are created out of thin air
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Oct 16, 2008 8:40 PM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
zeelanderer
zeelandererzeelandererLouisville, Kentucky USA25 Threads 711 Posts
Out of 722 Democrats polled.... 92% think McCains going to win.

Zee
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Oct 16, 2008 8:46 PM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
Indyfella
IndyfellaIndyfellaindianapolis, Indiana USA230 Threads 9 Polls 27,698 Posts
zeelanderer: Out of 722 Democrats polled.... 92% think McCains going to win.

Zee
rolling on the floor laughing
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Oct 16, 2008 8:56 PM CST Are Political Polls Really Accurate?
livinglarge
livinglargelivinglargein a good place, Kildare Ireland13 Threads 8,222 Posts
Stats can be manipulated to come to the answer you prefer,
I don't believe in them , really !
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by zeelanderer (25 Threads)
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