Nov. 3, '19 -- ELECTION DAY -366...BETTING ODDS UPDATE 03/10/20 -- D -238

With Biden sinking like a tire iron, Bloomberg could emerge as the non-Socialist/Communist alternative to Sanders, ep.

That's the division in the 'Crat party - Ol' Time Yellow Dog Pocketbook Issues 'Crats vs the SJWs/Socialists.

If 'Crats play to the Yellow Dogs, the SJWs will be put off - ala the '16 Bernie Bros.
If they play to SJWs, they'll again lose Rust Belt Blue Collar voters - ala Hildebeest.

A challenge for 'Crats is that the The Don plays VERY well with the Ol' Yellow Dogs.
Snubbing 'em as Clingers & Deplorables was Epic BAADD strategy.

cowboy

Nov. 3, '19 -- ELECTION DAY -366...BETTING ODDS UPDATE 03/10/20 -- D -238

Depending on how the single digit contenders make out, we could see the field of contenders thinned in the near future.

cowboy

Nov. 3, '19 -- ELECTION DAY -366...BETTING ODDS UPDATE 03/10/20 -- D -238

February 3 - D -274

The 'Crat Primary Race kicks off with the Iowa Caucus.

These folks ...

... Give the contenders the following chances of winning it -
Sanders - 63%
Biden - 19

Buttigieg leads the single digit also-rans with 9.
Followed by
Warren - 7
Klobuchar - 3

The BIG LOSER in the Impeachment was Biden.
As of January 25, he was closely trailing Sanders with both given slightly less than 40% chances.

He's also now 10% behind Sanders to get the nomination.

When the Senate Impeachment trial began & 'Publican Senators raised the possibility of subpoenaing him/Hunter his chances tanked.
The Impeachment likely cost him a realistic shot at the nomination violin

That and he's a gaffe generator, of course foot in mouth

cowboy

I've Not Seen Merc Here Lately - (aka "A Prior Chatting Blog")

G'afternoon, Merc tip hat

More pre-Valentine's Day hijinks.
I got liked by Jasmin713.

In her pic - She's goin' with the Lady Godiva Look. Only without the hair
wow pointing Imagine that. Only lower.

cowboy

01/28/20 - Trump & Netanyahu Unveil Middle East Peace Plan


It increasingly appears so, Butch. See also comments on the vid.

sigh

cowboy

RE: Strengthened By Democrat's Impeachment Scandal Republicans Set New All Time Fundraising Record

If those are too subtle or nuanced, this Leftie explains it in NO uncertain terms ...

very mad

cowboy

RE: Strengthened By Democrat's Impeachment Scandal Republicans Set New All Time Fundraising Record

Right you are, Cycle cheers


cowboy

I've Not Seen Merc Here Lately - (aka "A Prior Chatting Blog")

daydream The women on this site REALLY know how to play to guys' fantasies smitten
DAYUM!!

cowboy

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

wave Fonda!
happy place

cowboy

RE: Strengthened By Democrat's Impeachment Scandal Republicans Set New All Time Fundraising Record

This is an EXCELLENT 7 minute summary of the Impeachment ...

Who was the BIG LOSER in the process?

Sleepy Joe!
Absolutely. Beyond any shred of doubt.
The 'Crats destroyed the frontrunner in their own Primaries violin

The Don's recent rally messages suggest he thinks he'll square off with Bern.
A Capitalism vs Socialism confrontation.

Interesting.

cowboy

I've Not Seen Merc Here Lately - (aka "A Prior Chatting Blog")

I b'lieve it's a reference to the goofy groundhog hats dunno

cowboy

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

Hell YEAH, MarkO ...

cheers

cowboy

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

We can call it!
With a few pockets of Winter hold outs ....

SPRING HAS SPRUNG ON NORTH MURKA cheering

dancing ... dancing

happy place

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

Lucy Lobster seals Nova Scotia's doom -

LucyLobster
@LucyLobsterNS
It’s official!! I saw my Shadow this morning! 6 more weeks of winter on Nova Scotia’s beautiful South Shore!! @LobsterCrawl @KalinMitchelCTV @VisitNovaScotia @VisitBarrington @

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

Ol' Man Winter's headed South!!

From Georgia -
General Beauregard Lee - cold

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

Wiarton Willie
@willieofficial
Well folks, my prediction is #official. With cloudy skies and snow falling upon us this morning in #Wiarton it was very hard to find my shadow - even with all the camera lights around! Fans of spring rejoice, an #EarlySpring is around the corner. #WiartonWillie #Wiarton

cool

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

Nova Scotia now has Malvern, NY to share the misery ...

Malverne Mel also made his weather prediction Sunday morning, at Crossroads Farm in Malvern, N.Y.

Outcome: Malverne Mel went against the grain and saw his shadow, predicting six more weeks of winter. Guess that’s not too bad, because we haven’t had much of a winter so far in the eastern U.S.

cold

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

Milltown Mel did not see his shadow, according to folks at the American Legion post. So — just like his furry friends in Pennsylvania and Staten Island – Mel is calling for an early spring.
cool

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

Looks like you'll have reason to stay alive, 'Nastics -
From your neck of the woods ...

Staten Island Chuck .... cool

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

Things look brighter further West in Canada as clouds blanket Quebec -

Fred la marmotte says: EARLY SPRING cool

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

In s dreadful turn of events -
The Nova Scotia blizzard abated just long enough for ...

Shubenacadie Sam
@ShubenacadieSam
Who could have called this, it has cleared after the storm allowing for a shadow! I predict 6 more weeks of winter! #SamCam #ShubieWildlife #GroundhogDay2020
shock

Canadian woman speaks for ALL Canucks -

frustrated

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

From New Jersey -
'Nastics's forecast is for longevity!!

Optimism can't hurt, eh Jim? thumbs up
laugh

cowboy

cowboy

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

This in from Ohio -
Weather Whistlepig Buckeye Chuck .... cool

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

This just in from Staten Island Chuck ....... cool
grin

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

Punxsutawney Phil - cool

very happy

GROUNDHOG DAY! SUPER BOWL SUNDAY! PALINDROME DAY!

Festivities are underway in Punxsutawney in preparation for Phil's prognostication.
See live stream link in comment above roll eyes

cowboy

RE: The ridiculousness of the Republican cult - a Closer Look

@ Lou,
thumbs up

cheers

RE: The ridiculousness of the Republican cult - a Closer Look

FWIW -
I put No flag on my stuff when abroad.
I'm assumed to be Irish remarkably often. Same for Daughter.

Curious as we're not a bit Irish.
Presumably folks automatically stereotype Ginger as Irish.
Go figure dunno

More stereotyping -
I was in the U.S. Coast Guard when the uniform included the "Donald Duck" cap.
Whether in a foreign port of call or the U.S. we were often presumed to be members of a non-U.S. Navy/Merchant Marine - Surprisingly often that of the USSR! uh oh

cowboy

RE: The ridiculousness of the Republican cult - a Closer Look

laugh

cowboy

RE: The ridiculousness of the Republican cult - a Closer Look

rolling on the floor laughing pointing LITERALLY!

cowboy

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