THE REAL Epidemiologic features of this latest Corona virus...
...Common head cold virus, as if on mega doses of high potency steroids, people. Which features? Rates of infectivity, now that we know there's people to people spread? When and length of infectivity, ---presyndromtic, symptomatic or during convalescence? Mutation rates, and by what routes? Animal reservours? Arthropod and other vectors? Natural history of virus---convalescent states, harboring in CNS? All not likely .Droplet, fomites or other methods of spread, just for starters. But just as important, as in the SARS outbreak, which humanity just barely squeaked by, 15 years ago, also a King Kong among corona types---what I now name "POLITICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY". In SARS, weeks passed before barely effective Chinese public health efforts began. Doctors were silenced, and during hospital international inspections, patients allegedly were taken out and window shades drawn down ambulanced about, till the clip board bean counter nurses left. And as we Yanks did to the over run Europe during the last two wars, we were the true Calvary, We, this DEMOCRATIC, HIGH PERSONAL FREEDOM state, with others. So, one party state leaders were running things, as always, in the PRC. In total medical ignorance, reluctance to seek or even trust the epidemiologists, fear of loss of tourist money, and perhaps public panic. But again, true to form, this last had little to do with concern for public health or effective control measures, and a ALL to do with these leaders' deadly fear of popular backlashes against them. But don't just take my words for it. Tiannamen tanks, PLA troupes and machine guns. And bodies galore. All covered up, and can't ever appear in school text books. Yep, bad/corrupt/fearful government can be as powerful an epidemiological factor as can the characteristics of the infectious agent. But don't take my words for it---just stay tuned. Wearing masks, etc., THIS scientist, on the way home, if I don't stay here to help out the Azorean officials.
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An antidote will take a long time so it's hope for the best, and avoid crowded trains and the like. Or take to the Burqa. It's a wait and see for Ireland, we are in 'containment' phase which is just as well as we don't have the amount of medical equipment to deal with a large outbreak.