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Hot off the press; No one (who can't read) could have seen the pandemic coming

Yesterday in The New Yorker;

In response to:

Satire from The Borowitz Report

Study: No One Could Have Seen Pandemic Coming Except People Capable of Reading

By Andy Borowitz
April 13, 2020

MINNEAPOLIS (The Borowitz Report)—No one could have seen the coronavirus pandemic coming except for people who are capable of reading, a new study indicates.

The study, published by the University of Minnesota, is highly critical of the current early-warning system for global pandemics, which requires that a person have the literacy necessary to read, comprehend, and digest a memo.

“In order to see a pandemic coming, one would have to read and also understand the words, sentences, and paragraphs that compose a typical memo,” Professor Davis Logsdon, the author of the study, said. “And some of these memos can run two, three, even four pages in length.”

For someone who does not typically read, and instead spends ten or twelve hours a day watching television, “A memo like that is doomed to fall through the cracks.”

Logsdon believes that the abject failure of the current “reading-centric” early-warning system can teach us valuable lessons about how to combat future pandemics.

“Right now, the lives of millions depend upon one person not being illiterate,” he said. “That’s setting the bar awfully high.”

Andy Borowitz is a Times best-selling author and a comedian who has written for The New Yorker since 1998.
He writes The Borowitz Report, a satirical column on the news.

While it has never been a bar to high for any other US president, we really should limit the presidency
to literate people, who are honest, decent, and don't have mob connections. Apparently, the voters need that......spelled out.

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Apr 2020
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OK. Here's a 'feel good' Covid-19 story for you

New Jersey's own 106 year old Jeanette Arlotta is
officially the oldest person to recover from Covid-19.
She was living on her own, up until 6 months ago, when she moved into a nursing home.
While there, she became infected with the virus, and has fought hard to conquer it.
She currently tested negative for the virus and her isolation period in the hospital ends this Saturday, which coincidently is her 107th birthday.

Congratulations & Happy Birthday go out to her in being a survivor in more ways than one !
She epitomizes the term - Jersey Tough !

If you have a 'feel good' Covid-19 story (even if it is not in NJ) feel free to add it below.

From Patch.com;

In response to:

Nutley Woman, 106, Recovering From Coronavirus: Report
A Nutley resident who lived through the Spanish Flu pandemic in the early 1900s has survived her bout with COVID-19, a report says.

By Eric Kiefer, Patch Staff
Apr 8, 2020 12:07 pm ET | Updated Apr 8, 2020 12:08 pm ET

NUTLEY, NJ — A Nutley resident who lived through the Spanish Flu pandemic in the early 1900s has survived her bout with the new coronavirus, a report says.

Jeanette Arlotta, is expected to be released from the hospital on Saturday, which also happens to be her 107th birthday, News12 New Jersey reported.

Arlotta was diagnosed with COVID-19 after being admitted to the hospital late last month with flu-like symptoms, News12 reported. (Read the full article here)

"Keep the good news coming," the Nutley Volunteer Emergency and Rescue Squad commented, wishing Arlotta a happy birthday.

As of Wednesday morning, Nutley has seen 217 confirmed cases of COVID-19, with 10 deaths linked to the disease, according to Essex County officials.

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Apr 2020
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'Trump is killing his own supporters' – even White House insiders know it

In response to:

On Sunday, initially at least, there was no White House briefing on the president’s public schedule. But the bad news kept coming. Coronavirus deaths continued to climb and reports of the heartland being unprepared for what may be on its horizon continued to ricochet around the media.

In the words of one administration insider, to the Guardian: “The Trump organism is simply collapsing. He’s killing his own supporters.”

Members of the national guard, emergency workers, rank-and-file Americans: all are exposed. Yet Trump appears incapable of emoting anything that comes close to heart-felt concern. Or just providing straight answers.

Rather, he is acting like Jefferson Davis, the president of the Confederate States of America: repeatedly letting governors know the burden of shoring up their sick, their doctors and their people falls on their shoulders first. The national government? It’s the world’s greatest backstop.

Remember when the Republican party freaked out about Barack Obama and the US “leading from behind” abroad? Remember the howls that evoked from GOP leaders? Those days are gone. Welcome to what Martin O’Malley, a Democratic former governor of Maryland, calls the “Darwinian approach to federalism”.

Trump is telling NFL owners he wants the season to start on time. He is disregarding Centers for Disease Control and Prevention advice on wearing facemasks in public. And he is touting untested coronavirus cures live on national TV.

Think Trump University on steroids, only this time we all stand to be the victims.

When Dr Anthony Fauci says there is no evidence to back up Trump’s claims surrounding hydroxychloroquine, an anti-malaria drug, pay attention. The fact Jared Kushner is on the case is hardly reassuring. He’s the guy who thought firing James Comey was win-win politics and promised Middle East peace in our time.

While all this is going on, the Wisconsin Republican party is giving America a taste of the campaign to come in the fall. Right now, the Badger State GOP is fighting in the US supreme court efforts to extend mail-in voting for this Tuesday’s Democratic primary.

In other words, voters will be forced to choose between foregoing their rights and risking their lives. Democracy shouldn’t work that way.

Back in the day, Republicans looked upon absentee voting as a valuable adjunct, a key piece in the party’s election day arsenal. Not anymore. Instead it is a dreaded foe, a fact readily admitted by Trump on Fox & Friends this week. If the US were to adopt mail-in voting, said the president, “you’d never have a Republican elected in this country again”.

For good measure, Trump later declared from the White House: “I think a lot of people cheat with mail-in voting.”

For the record, Trump voted by mail in 2018. In March, the Palm Beach Post reported that he had requested a mail-in vote for the Florida Republican primary.

There is nothing like populism marinated in wholesale contempt for the populace. In case Trump and the Republicans forgot, “We the People” are the constitution’s first three words.

Sadly, once again we are reminded that Ridley Scott and Russell Crowe’s masterpiece, Gladiator, is the movie for this presidency and its tumultuous times. In one scene, a senator, Gracchus, attempts to confront Commodus, the emperor, about a plague spreading through Rome. The emperor declines, threatens the senator and muses about disbanding the Senate.

On Thursday, Trump forced the removal of Captain Brett Crozier from his command of the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt, for having the temerity to plead his sailors’ case as more than 100 of them tested positive for coronavirus.

If you can leave your soldiers to suffer then no American is truly safe, no matter what Jeanine Pirro may say. Crozier left the ship to the cheers of the crew – then reportedly tested positive himself.

(continued below)

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Apr 2020
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Dr. Fauci urges pharmaceutical companies to help milions of people with development of one pill

Today in The New Yorker;

In response to:

Satire from The Borowitz Report

Fauci Begs Pharma Companies to Speed Development of Anti-Narcissism Drug

By Andy Borowitz
April 9, 2020

WASHINGTON (The Borowitz Report)—Stating that “time is of the essence,” Dr. Anthony Fauci is imploring the nation’s pharmaceutical companies to fast-track the development of a drug to treat narcissism.

Acknowledging that narcissistic-personality disorder has historically been resistant to medication, the esteemed virologist said that a breakthrough drug was “urgently needed.”

“I have seen the toll that narcissism takes, day in, day out,” Fauci said. “The human cost is incalculable.”

Without offering scientific evidence or data, Fauci argued, “Successfully treating one narcissist could substantially reduce the misery and suffering of millions.”

The epidemiologist said that, as soon as a promising anti-narcissism drug is developed, he would “personally mastermind” its clinical trials.

For the purpose of those trials, Fauci said, it would be optimal to manufacture the drug as a pill or anything else “that could be easily crushed and dissolved in a Diet Coke.”

Andy Borowitz is a Times best-selling author and a comedian who has written for The New Yorker since 1998.
He writes The Borowitz Report, a satirical column on the news.

Never before would 1 pill provide relief for so many.

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Apr 2020
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Testing, Testing, Not enough Testing

in Ars Technica

In response to:

America’s COVID-19 testing has stalled, and that’s a big problem

We'll need a lot more testing capacity to get the coronavirus under control.

Timothy B. Lee - 4/2/2020, 5:09 PM

One of America's biggest fumbles in the early weeks of the coronavirus crisis was inadequate testing. Thanks to a series of poor decisions by federal officials, the United States had far too little capacity to test for COVID-19 throughout the month of February, hampering our ability to contain the spread of the virus.

America is finally testing for coronavirus in significant volumes

In early March, things seemed to be turning around. According to data from COVID Tracking Project, daily testing grew exponentially from a few hundred tests on March 5 to 107,000 tests last Friday, March 27.

But since then, progress has stalled. The US has been testing a bit over 100,000 people a day for the last six days—including 101,000 yesterday. And that's a cause for concern because the US will need to do considerably more testing to get its coronavirus outbreak under control.

Why testing matters

The most urgent need for testing is when a patient shows up at the hospital with coronavirus symptoms. Knowing if a patient actually has coronavirus or some other disease with similar symptoms determines what kinds of treatment are most appropriate. It also lets health care workers know whether they need to take precautions to avoid catching the coronavirus themselves.

Testing is also crucial for slowing the spread of coronavirus in the wider world. Ideally, when a patient is diagnosed with COVID-19, health officials would test everyone who has had close contact with that person. If someone else tested positive, officials would test all of their close contacts too. This process is known as contact tracing. Doing it on a wide-enough scale should allow officials to quickly identify and isolate almost everyone who has the disease.

You might not think that would matter now with so many people staying at home. But there are a fair number of people still working in essential industries who are at risk for catching COVID-19.

Amazon, for example, has had coronavirus cases at a growing number of fulfillment centers around the country. When these outbreaks occur, Amazon typically orders co-workers known to have had close contact to self-quarantine for 14 days. But those workers aren't necessarily tested. So if one of them passed COVID-19 on to someone else before their quarantine began, public officials wouldn't find out.
When to go back to work

So greater testing capacity would help improve treatment of patients and limit the spread of the coronavirus today. And it will become even more important once the current outbreak has peaked and public officials want to start sending people back to work.

If officials simply lifted quarantine restrictions without taking other precautions, the virus would resume its exponential growth and we'd wind up with a second large-scale outbreak. Aggressive contact tracing and quarantine policies are needed to make sure this doesn't happen. And that requires ample testing capacity.

Large-scale testing can also inform public officials' decision about when and how to lift restrictions. That's important because today's large-scale quarantine policy is having massive economic costs. The more data officials have about the spread of the coronavirus, the more precisely they can determine when and where it's safe to relax restrictions and the sooner they can let people go back to work.

Current testing levels aren’t enough

The countries that have been most successful at controlling their coronavirus outbreaks have done a lot more testing than the United States on a per capita basis.

(continued in my first comment below)

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Apr 2020
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Another vaccine enters human trials. This one backed by Bill & Melissa Gates

In response to:
A second potential COVID-19 vaccine, backed by Bill and Melinda Gates, is entering human testing

Darrell Etherington 3:44 pm EDT • April 6, 2020

A new COVID-19 vaccine candidate is entering Phase 1 clinical human testing today, after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) accepted an application from Inovio Pharmaceuticals under the regulator’s Investigational New Drug program. Inovio plans to inject its first volunteer test subject with the INO-4800 DNA vaccine candidate it has developed, following promising results from preclinical studies performed on animals that did indicate increased immune response.

The Inovio DNA vaccine candidate works by injecting a specifically engineered plasmid (a small, independent genetic structure) into a patient so that their cells can produce a desired, targeted antibody to fight off a specific infection. DNA vaccines, while available and approved for a variety of animal infections in veterinary medicine, have not yet been approved for human use.

That said, Inovio’s work isn’t starting from scratch: The company previously completed a Phase 1 study for a DNA vaccine candidate for Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS), where it showed promising results and a high level of antibodies produced in subjects that persisted for an extended period of time.

Inovio has been able to scale up quickly, developing and producing “thousands of doses” of INO-4800 in just a few short weeks in order to support its Phase 1 and Phase 2 trials. The company has done so in part thanks to backing from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, as well as funding from other nonprofits and organizations. If clinical trials are successful, Inovio says it will be able to have up to one million doses of the vaccine ready by the end of the year, for use both in additional trials and for potential emergency use pending authorization.

This is the second vaccine to undertake Phase 1 clinical testing on human subjects: Moderna began its trial in mid-March. Inovio’s trial will be made up of 40 volunteers, all healthy adults selected via screening conducted at either Philadelphia’s Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, or the Center for Pharmaceutical Research in Kansas City. It’ll span the next several weeks, and the company expects data around the immune responses from test subjects, as well as info pertaining to the safety of the treatment for humans, to be available by late this summer.

Any broad clearance or approval for use is still likely at least a year to 18 months away, but the pace with which human trials are beginning is still exceptional, so hopefully we won’t have to wait too much longer than that.

This one is based on a DNA plasmid.

The first one happened in mid-March in Seattle, which more likely was protein based.

From The Hill;

In response to:

The trial is taking place at the Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute in Seattle and aims to enroll 45 healthy adults over a six-week period, according to the National Institutes of Health (NIH).

Study participants will receive two doses of the vaccine approximately 28 days apart.

The study is a phase one trial. It is meant to evaluate different doses of an experimental vaccine and is the first of multiple steps in the clinical trial process for evaluating its potential benefit.

The vaccine was developed by the NIH and its collaborators at Moderna Inc., based in Cambridge, Mass. It took only about two months for Moderna to develop the vaccine and ship it to the NIH.

But while the trial launched in record speed, public health officials have been stressing for weeks that a vaccine won't be ready for 12 to 18 months in the best circumstances.

And hopefully there will be another one available sooner.
For instance, the Canadian one was in the lead, but I haven't seen anything on this recently.
Perhaps results are not ready yet.

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Apr 2020
in Health
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Good news & bad news

For those of you, who might think the title is the beginning of a joke, I will warn you,
that there is nothing funny about this blog. But then, this blog is much more significant than any joke.

Nonetheless, it seems that we all could stand to see a real 'light at the end of the tunnel' with regard to Covid-19. Unfortunately, there's very bad news connected to it. But, since there's been mostly bad news for a while, it's nice to get any good news.

OK. Here's the bad news first. The governor of New York reported today a record number of new deaths, over 700 since yesterday. Of course, that is terrible news,
especially for the families of the deceased. My condolences to all.

Now keep in mind, that deaths are the result of previous infections and there is a usually a lag period from when one gets infected to when one recovers, or dies.

Here's the good news. For several days in a row, the governor has also reported a drop in the number of positive test results. This is especially significant, as testing is more widely available.

Thus, at least for New York it is possible, that they are beginning to trend downward on the number of infections. Considering that New York has had the largest numbers and the density of the population in the NYC area, this latter result is terrific news. It seems to indicate, that social distancing is working to reduce infections. All hail Fauci !
It also indicates, that eventually, the number of deaths should trend down too.

Now, hopefully, the residents will not take this too gleefully and be too eager to return to work and cause a second wave of infections. Certainly, those that have recovered from the disease and not testing positive for the virus SHOULD go back to work.
They will not spread the disease, nor are they likely to get the disease. Indeed, if they give blood, their antibodies can be harvested and used to fight the disease for those who are infected and not recovering.

However, those who test positive, and those who have not been tested, should not yet return to situations where they could spread the disease.

The other thing I should mention is, that different areas have different timings of their infection curves. It is very possible for visitors or residents with the disease to start another round of infections upon those who have not yet been infected.
So, unless you have recovered from the disease and test negative for the virus, until an effective vaccine is available and until you have been previously innoculated with it, you should still practice social distancing & thoroughly wash your hands before touching your nose, mouth or eyes. .

But, at least in NY, the light at the end of the tunnel may be in the distance, but perhaps it is becoming visible.

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Apr 2020
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$1 Billion donated by Jack Dorsey (CEO of Twitter & Square Trade) towards Covid-19 relief & other

Yesterday from The Verge;

In response to:

Jack Dorsey to donate $1 billion to fund COVID-19 relief and other charities

He’s putting $1 billion toward his Start Small fund

By Nick Statt Apr 7, 2020, 5:21pm EDT

Jack Dorsey, the CEO of both Twitter and digital payments platform Square, said on Tuesday that he will donate $1 billion worth of equity in Square to his Start Small LLC to fund COVID-19 relief around the world. Dorsey made the announcement in a tweet, revealing that the sum equates to roughly 28 percent of his current net worth, or about $3.6 billion. The announcement marks the most significant philanthropic effort from the 43-year-old tech executive in his career.

Dorsey is far from as wealthy as tech moguls like Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates, and Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos. Yet, thanks to the performance of the shares he owns in both Square and Twitter, he is still a billionaire and until last year had not openly made plans to donate a majority of his wealth beyond the existence of the Start Small fund, which Forbes reports is a donor-advised fund that doesn’t have to disclose where its investments are directed.

Dorsey appears to want to change that. He says the $1 billion going into Start Small today will be publicly tracked, and he even tweeted the public Google Sheets spreadsheet that will track the spending. It includes an existing $100,000 donation Dorsey gave to America's Food Fund. He says following the COVID-19 relief effort, Start Small will shift focus to “girl’s health and education, and UBI,” or universal basic income.

Dorsey says UBI and women’s health and education “represent the best long-term solutions to the existential problems facing the world,” and UBI requires funding for experiments to test its efficacy in the real world. He also offered some clarity on why he decided to use Square shares — “I own a lot more Square,” he says — and explained why Start Small is structured as an LLC instead of using a more traditional philanthropic structure like a 501(c)(3) nonprofit, as the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation is structured.

Why the transparency? It’s important to show my work so I and others can learn. I’ve discovered and funded ($40mm) many orgs with proven impact and efficiency in the past, mostly anonymously. Going forward, all grants will be public. Suggestions welcome. Drop your cash app ;)

“Why now? The needs are increasingly urgent, and I want to see the impact in my lifetime,” Dorsey tweeted in the final message of his thread. “I hope this inspires others to do something similar. Life is too short, so let’s do everything we can today to help people now.”

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Apr 2020
in Society
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From the US Surgeon General - how to make a face mask in 30 seconds from common items

Easy as......no no easier than pie.

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Apr 2020
in Health
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Over 1,000 cases of Coronavirus in the USA and probably rising

Today From NBC News;

In response to:

Updated March 11, 2020, 12:05 PM EDT

The United States now has more than 1,000 people infected with coronavirus — but testing in the U.S. is still ramping up, meaning that number could continue to climb.

Meanwhile, the governor of New York has questioned the number of people who have been tested for the virus in the U.S.

“When they do the retrospective on this one, they are going to say, 'Why did it take the Unites States so long to bring up the testing capacity?'” Gov. Andrew Cuomo said on TODAY on Wednesday. On Tuesday, Cuomo announced that he was implementing a "containment area" around a one-mile radius in the city of New Rochelle, home to the largest cluster of coronavirus cases in the country.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention have said that more than 8,500 specimens have been tested for the coronavirus across the U.S. Because multiple specimens are required from each individual, the number of actual patients who have been tested is likely far lower.

Here in New Jersey there's 23 cases and 1 death thus far. The leading NJ universities, Princeton & Rutgers, have both decided to offer online instructions and to cancel in person classes for the near future.

Both Philadelphia and Boston have canceled their St. Patrick's Day parades due to the threat of virus spreading in crowds. In California the Coachella music festival is canceled for the same reason.

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Mar 2020
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The motivating factors inside Trump's head, that finally had him give up on his Easter miracle

Today in Vanity Fair;

In response to:
“The Campaign Panicked”: Inside Trump’s Decision to Back Off of His Easter Coronavirus Miracle

An impulsive promise (“His view was: I need to show people there’s a light at the end of the tunnel”) led to Fauci pushback. Poll numbers—and a friend in a coma—pushed Trump to reverse course.

By Gabriel Sherman
April 1, 2020

The national debate set off by Donald Trump’s announcement that he wanted churches packed on Easter was, like so many Trump crises, a self-inflicted one. In the days after Trump tweeted that “WE CANNOT LET THE CURE BE WORSE THAN THE PROBLEM ITSELF,” his medical advisers, led by Dr. Anthony Fauci, implored Trump not to relax the government’s social distancing guidelines. Trump dug in. “His view was: I need to show people that there is light at the end of the tunnel,” a former West Wing official told me. Under pressure, members of the coronavirus task force discussed privately how parts of the country might be opened in April, but cautioned Trump not to get locked into a specific timetable given the deteriorating conditions in New York hospitals and ominous upticks in cases in New Orleans, Detroit, and elsewhere. “They discussed it internally, but they never intended Trump to announce it,” a Republican working with the task force told me.

Trump’s impulsive decision—and its messy aftermath—consumed the West Wing during the critical week that governors were pleading with the White House to deliver medical supplies before hospital systems began to collapse. “It was totally crazy,” the Republican told me. Dr. Fauci, Senator Lindsey Graham, and others raced to convince Trump that an Easter opening would be a cataclysmic error that could cost millions of lives. “This is a very, very stressful situation for everybody, including me,” Fauci told me in a phone interview on Monday. By last weekend Fauci’s arguments broke through: Trump agreed to extend the social distancing guidelines until the end of April.

Trump’s latest tonal and tactical shift (and almost certainly not the last) was driven by several factors, both personal and political. Trump learned that his close friend, 78-year-old New York real estate mogul Stan Chera, had contracted COVID-19 and fallen into a coma at NewYork-Presbyterian. “Boy, did that hit home. Stan is like one of his best friends,” said prominent New York Trump donor Bill White. Trump also grew concerned as the virus spread to Trump country. “The polling sucked. The campaign panicked about the numbers in red states. They don’t expect to win states that are getting blown to pieces with coronavirus,” a former West Wing official told me. From the beginning of the crisis, Trump had struggled to see it as anything other than a political problem, subject to his usual arsenal of tweets and attacks and bombast. But he ultimately realized that as bad as the stock market was, getting coronavirus wrong would end his presidency. “The campaign doesn’t matter anymore,” he recently told a friend, “what I do now will determine if I get reelected.”

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Apr 2020
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Dr. Fauci's smoothest move yet !

Yesterday in The New Yorker;

In response to:

Satire from The Borowitz Report

Fauci Urges Non-Essential Worker to Go Home

By Andy Borowitz
April 3, 2020

WASHINGTON (The Borowitz Report)—Dr. Anthony Fauci has urged a non-essential employee of the White House Coronavirus Task Force to go home immediately, Fauci confirmed on Friday.

Speaking to reporters, the esteemed virologist said that he made the decision to expel the worker for “the health and safety of others.”

“He said that he felt fine coming to work every day,” Fauci said. “I told him, ‘You may feel fine, but by coming into work you are endangering the lives of countless others.’ ”

Fauci said that his decision to send the non-essential worker home was based on the most recent scientific findings.

“What we’re learning is that breathing and talking can put lives in jeopardy, and this one worker did more breathing and talking than anyone else on the team,” he said.

The employee is expected to spend fourteen hours a day in isolation watching television, a two-hour increase from his normal routine.

Andy Borowitz is a Times best-selling author and a comedian
who has written for The New Yorker since 1998.
He writes The Borowitz Report, a satirical column on the news.

Hopefully, this non-essential employee will also lose his cell phone.

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Apr 2020
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This is a list of JimNastics's Blogs. Click here for JimNastics's Blog List

JimNastics Blog (1,965)

Hot off the press; No one (who can't read) could have seen the pandemic coming

OK. Here's a 'feel good' Covid-19 story for you

'Trump is killing his own supporters' – even White House insiders know it

Dr. Fauci urges pharmaceutical companies to help milions of people with development of one pill

Testing, Testing, Not enough Testing

Another vaccine enters human trials. This one backed by Bill & Melissa Gates

Good news & bad news

$1 Billion donated by Jack Dorsey (CEO of Twitter & Square Trade) towards Covid-19 relief & other

From the US Surgeon General - how to make a face mask in 30 seconds from common items

Over 1,000 cases of Coronavirus in the USA and probably rising

The motivating factors inside Trump's head, that finally had him give up on his Easter miracle

Dr. Fauci's smoothest move yet !

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