Harsh Reality

Today from Bloomberg;



Deaths are a lot easier to determine than infections, especially since adequate testing is unavailable and most people have not been tested. Indeed, some tests have proven to be faulty. While some areas have seen a reduction in deaths recently, other areas have seen an increase and the net this week was an increase.

It would be prudent to not ease back on social distancing for the near future, especially since we do not yet know who is infected. head banger
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In the UK the death toll is deemed inaccurate.

The reported number of infections is based upon those who have been hospitalised. Those who are mildly, or moderately symptomatic are being advised to quarantine at home, but are not being tested.

Likewise, the death toll is largely based upon hospital deaths. Deaths which occur in the home, or in care homes are supposed to be reported weekly on a Tuesday, but I've not been noticing spikes on Tuesdays.

There have also been reports that some deaths recorded as being Covid-19 related are simply not making it to the daily collated statistics, perhaps because without testing prior to death, or post mortem examinations they are unconfirmed.

Your death toll may be more accurate than the number of infections, but it's still likely to be under-reported.
Our daily death toll seems to be coming down with a mere 449 people confirmed dead today.

We had five days where the death toll came down successively, it peaked again, but has been coming down again over the last three days.

The number of confirmed infections has been zig-zagging up and down since a peak 10 days ago, so we may be at a plateau of sorts.

If we are, that means the number of infections and deaths should go down in reverse decline. With the current death toll at 16,508, that would suggest an awful lot more losses even if we remain in lockdown.

Unless treatment practise has been refined and our besieged/fairly wonderful NHS are managing to get more people through the illness.

Whatever is going on, I'd be surprised if our restrictions are lifted in a fortnight's time. I imagine our NHS staff could do with a bit of respite before it all kicks off again.
Here in New Jersey we are at a bit of a plateau also.
It's ensuring that the hospitals, staff, and equipment are not overwhelmed, and that's a very good thing.
However, of course, it would be a lot better if it was declining.
I'd like to see them give an ample warning enabling people to stock up on supplies and tell them, we are going to be in total shut down for exactly 3 weeks. No one is allowed outside, except emergency personnel (police, doctors & nurses, emergency room personnel, power, water, ambulance, ect...).
That would prevent most people from getting infected and those who are infected to recover.
It would save thousands of lives. See how the numbers are then and if necessary, repeat in a month following after the 3 weeks are up.
U.S. deaths today- 40,000
Worldwide deaths- 170,000

Wikipedia
We have way too many people dying-
A President that said we have an air tight seal protecting us from COVID earlier. What a farce.
We didn't need masks. Masks were useless they told us.barf
Trump should be sued by the families of those who lost family members due to him misleading the public. If anyone died because ambulances were blocked from getting to the hospital during foolish 'protests', those affected families should sue the people who those/that ambulances/ambulance and also Trump for encouraging them. It won't bring people back alive, but it will encourage future presidents & protesters to be more truthful and thoughtful about similar situations.
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by JimNastics
created Apr 2020
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