Hurricane IDALIA...

We don't get many hurricanes on the West coast of Florida. Nearly a year ago, Ian cut North of the Fort Myers area with extreme flooding and loss of life. The outer bands of winds were so extreme it spawned tornadoes on the East coast 200 miles away that took the roofs off several of the houses and condos around me.

11 months later, waiting for reconstruction, I see they put new trusses on some of the 2nd story condos that were covered with tarps all this time. Those units were severely damaged and unoccupied all this time.
To those who haven't experienced the force of a hurricane and seen the devastation, words and photos cannot fully describe.

Sunday morning, I met with friends and one mentioned a tropical storm in the Yucatan peninsula with a forecast to become a powerful hurricane headed for the West coast of Florida.

Idalia is born...

Late Sunday night, Idalia was a Tropical storm and will strengthen Monday morning while crossing the Western top of Cuba, expected to be a hurricane mid-Monday making a slight curve to the East and hit Florida about 100 miles North of Tampa.

The image below is linked to the National Hurricane Center and usually updates every 4 hours.

Embedded image from another site
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Comments (35)

My imagery is similar. However, I still see it as a possibility of it taking a bounce off the Cuban coast and heading in a more West direction. Luckily it probably will not increase much in strength and will probably stay just a 2 or 3 before hitting land. If I lived in Mobile, Alabama or even Tallahassee, FL I would be making contingency plans for at least another day until it passed Cuba.
The 4pm advisory has the storm at 70mph winds, slightly lower than the forecast yesterday.

TV news are already talking about massive evacuations.
Governor Ron DeSantis is saying 'higher ground' and not necessarily driving hundreds of miles to avoid the storm.

Satellite imagery shows the storm isn't well formed. There is no visible eyewall at this time. That is expected to change tomorrow.
Link here that updates. It's daylight now and later tonight you won't see much on the image.

Embedded image from another site
We won't really know anything for another 6 hours. The storm center has yet to pass Cuba.
be safe down there, Chat!
Prepare for the worst and hope for the best.
Agreed. So far no wind speed change.
Thanks... I'm out of the danger zone, but you should plan for lots of rain around Thursday.
It's official. Tuesday morning and and storm has passed Cuba. Winds have picked up and Idalia is now a category one hurricane.
Good news...

wine
Good news for the people in Cuba.
Bad news for Floridians as it's in the Gulf of Mexico and will intensify in the warm waters today.
If it follows the projected path, I will only get Tropical Storm conditions....

To the people north of me...I hope the storm surge is not as bad as predicted.

Hopefully, I will not lose power or internet..I didn't during Ian...I was very lucky...

Idalia may be the gift that keeps giving...if it follows some of the projected paths it will loop and return to hit the east coast of Florida.
Still shaky here in Sarasota about its path, but it looks like it will hit more north. I'm like gonelikethewimd and hope I don't lose power.
I was out getting gas and the lines were manageable.
The same getting groceries.
No panicking.

The first band of showers are sweeping the East coast the same as last year with hurricane Ian.
I'm expecting some tornado warnings this evening.

This is the radar link to the local TV Weather center. It gives a clear view of the storm conditions across the state.

Forecast to become a category 4

People won't leave because of their homes

These people are nuts & whom will then ring emergency for help endangering their bloody lives

This is a once in 100 year life time scenario so I say do as your told & get out
Exactly Merc. People stay in their homes to protect possessions the worse reason of all.

By staying in their homes they put the Fire Department and rescue workers at risk to get them out of a flood, etc. Selfish people who own a home with stuff. That's all it is is stuff.

I'm in North Carolina and we have been warned on our phones that we might lose power from heavy winds but it's unlikely that we will get flooded because I'm an hour from the ocean but I never say never.

I did prepare for the storm and went out to buy bottled water and deli food to make a sandwich if I can't cook. I have hurricane lanterns. This won't be anything like Hurricane Florence when I had to evacuate.
It's nighttime and hurricanes don't normally intensify.
Idalia is currently a category 2 storm.
The predictions are it will intensify to a category 4 storm and hit the coast Wednesday night. That's around 18 hours from now.
12 of those hours are during daylight and plenty of time to get stronger.

This map comes from TV12 in West Palm Beach. I don't know if it updates, but the South side of the storm will probably get the most wind and rain.

Embedded image from another site
It looks like the eye may now hit in the Tallahassee vicinity....


So far a few squalls of rain and a few wind gusts...

If anything, it was very beneficial for my area...we are 17 inches below our normal summer rainfall.
Infrared satellite image shows a clear night time view of the storm:
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Here is a GIF loop of the same satellite view:

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I'm not sure if the image updates.
It is going to a long morning for those around the landfall...

@ Merc...It does not bring devastating winds to the entire state...It is just in the eyewall...which can be a different for each hurricane...

Last year when Ian went through...It made landfall south of me...

It was devastating for Fort Myers...

Where I am, I got about 6 hours of 80 mph sustained winds, with gusts to low 100s...

I couldnā€™t hear the wind...in the house...

If it was predicted to make landfall here...as a Cat 3 or above...I would have left.
Protecting possessions doesn't make any sense at all because on CNN they're saying some parts will be Un survivable.What makes people think they can stop such force from destroying their posessions?

Children animals & photo's plus purse would be my priority

From what I'm hearing some people are more lax about this hurricane because in the past when they would leave after being told it will be bad those situations were down graded so they felt they left for nothing & they feel this too will pass

Do you still live where you cop hurricanes?

If so wouldn't you prefer to live where you don't have to worry about these events

Right now a huge storm is about to hit me my sky is black I'm petrified of storms let alone a hurricane laugh
My posts are about the water surge not the devastating winds

I always thought it was the devastating winds that were the killer but I learned long ago on CNN that it's the actual water surge that costs lives

Tornados are mentioned as well

Like you I wouldn't need to be asked twice to leave my residence
3:30am here in Sarasota. The storm raced past us and no power loss.

I've been through a category 3 hurricane when I lived in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. It was scary and I'll never do it again. If people stay for a category 4 storm, they are nuts. Merc is right, the storm surge is a killer.

We were lucky in Sarasota. I pray for those in the Cedar Key area.
And I thought it was a milder one...lol...doh

I would definitely find another place to camp out for a few days...not worth it to stay put...material goods can be replaced...

Keep us posted...

wine
I did mean to type storm surge but you knew what I was on about

I now flicked on CNN it's now a powerful category 4

It looks horrendous Ken

Another reason why people stayed was because they were concerned about looters

I have everything crossed for everyones survival
Protecting possession in the context of the people staying has little to do with the storm itself. In the immediate aftermath of Hurricane Andrew there were numerous incidents of groups (gangs) of armed looters hitting the damaged areas and stealing from businesses and homes before the owners could return. Some gun battles too with residents that has stayed. Many arrests, but not all of them.

What happened immediately after Andrew (and also in New Orleans and Bixby after Katrina) caught a lot of people by surprise. That was then. There is more awareness now and many have prepared for Looter mediation. The citizens of Florida now have more lawful AR and AK rifles than the army of Ukraine. Those planning to loot should reconsider.

I have a step daughter in St. Augustine and another one in Orlando. They both tell me they plan to stay in place and also will try hard to keep dry. They have been reasonably well trained by me (and also have sacrificial BFs they can send forward while they take up a sniping position) so I am reasonably confident they and their possessions will be safe.

(one of my step daughters practicing on moving targets)
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The two things I remember most about Andrew...the horror stories of people hunkered down in their bathtubs as their homes were demolished...It changed the building codes in Florida...for the better.

And, the looters who preyed on the people who had lost everything...

Those kind of looters are some of the biggest POS on the planet...
The projected trajectory was accurate. Time of landfall was wrong by one TV weather station, Powerful storm but not a category 4 as predicted. It's now down to a category 1 with 75 mph winds which is a good thing.

Satellite views showed a HUGE outreach of rainfall that accounts for the massive flooding.

The bad part of this is many areas affected by lack of seasonal rainfall cannot use the flood waters as they have to get pumped out as quickly as possible and not diverted to reservoirs, canals or lakes for use when needed.
The flooding here is from the storm surge and high tides...which, is now receding some..

The bridge to Bird Key is now open again because of this...

Some of the barrier islands are still flooded though..and access is still restricted.
I had friends living in Homestead who were caught by surprise. Seeking refuge in the bathtub for safety really happened.

One guy evacuated and on his return couldn't find his house. All the landmarks and street signs were gone. He said the trees along Chrome avenue had no bark on the side that faced the storm as though they were hit with a giant sand blasting machine.
I remember trees not having a leaf left on them...

I think Andrew woke up many people about how powerful hurricanes can be.
Not for public consumption. Many immigrants on the farmlands down there had no identification. The person who told me this couldn't say what happened to their corpses.
That is so sad...

One the men who worked for my husband was here illegally...Best worker we ever had...He started as a laborer, then a mason apprentice, then mason, and then became the lead mason a supervisor. My husband taught him the trade and became a bit of a surrogate father to him. He never knew his real father.

It was after meeting his family and hearing how they were always afraid of being sent back to Mexico...He was a great father and husband...when my husband died, his wife called me crying like a baby...saying how much ā€œIā€ his first name was going to miss my husband. He thought of him as a father...

They are still doing well...Their oldest child who is a citizen..is now in college.
It did reach a category 4

Yes it was brief but nonetheless that hurricane did reach a category 4
I checked a few sites for wind speed history and see it briefly reached 130mph winds as a category 4 just before landfall.



You made a significant comment on my supermoon blog that I will copy here:

Exactly, the moon affects tides and the the storm surge was probably 10 feet above an already high tide. Idalia hit land around a state park/natural preserve that was at sea level, easily pulling water and flooding all the way into Georgia.
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